Sub Navigation:
Secondary Navigation:
Breadcrumb Navigation:
Home>Faculty & Research>Faculty Profiles>Faculty Details
Main Content:

Wilpen L. Gorr
Professor of Public Policy and Information Systems
Tenure Track
Program Chair
Voice: n/a
Email: gorr@cmu.edu
Biography
Wil Gorr has been on the Heinz College faculty since 1985. He serves as the faculty chair of the Master of Science in Public Policy and Management (MSPPM) program and is chair of the Faculty Oversight Committee for the MSPPM program in Washington, D.C. Prior to joining the Heinz College faculty as professor, he was assistant and associate professor at the John Glenn School of Public Affairs, The Ohio State University. He obtained his Ph.D. from the School of Urban and Public Affairs, the Heinz College’s predecessor, and obtained his master and bachelor degrees from The Pennsylvania State University. He is a member of the Association of Public Policy and Management and the International Institute of Forecasters.
In 2005, Wil was inducted as a Fellow of the International Institute of Forecasters. He is past editor of the International Journal of Forecasting. He was recipient of the Best Paper Award from the American Information Systems Society for "ServiceNet: An Agent-Based Framework for E-Government" in August 2001, and has received numerous teaching awards from Carnegie Mellon and Ohio State.
Wil’s research interests include geographic information systems, predictive models, and management science models applied to public sector problems. His current research includes developing leading indicator forecast models for law enforcement, application of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) framework to time series analysis and forecasting, and information systems for support of policy and planning in organizations. His publications have appeared in Management Science, Geographical Analysis, The International Journal of Forecasting, Criminology, MIS Quarterly, and other leading journals. He has received funding from the National Institute of Justice, Centers for Disease Control, the National Science Foundation, the Alfred P. Sloan Foundation, and other organizations.
Wil teaches Web technology, database, geographic information systems, and project courses. He and his colleague, Kristen Kurland, have recently written four geographic information systems textbooks and currently they are writing GIS Tutorial for Crime Mapping and Analysis for ESRI Press. Wil is founder of InfoLink, a school-to-work program for inner-city high school students conducted at Carnegie Mellon (1994–2002). He is the page master of the Crime Forecasting page of Scott Armstrong's Principles of Forecasting Web site, and the web master of the Jubilee Soup Kitchen web site, developed by Heinz School students in a project course.
Publications
Gorr, W.L., "Forecast Accuracy Measures for Exception Reporting Using Receiver Operating Characteristic Curves," International Journal of Forecasting, to appear.
Cohen, J., S. Garman, and W. L. Gorr, “Empirical Calibration of Time Series Monitoring Methods Using Receiver Operating Characteristic Curves,” International Journal of Forecasting, to appear.
Cohen, J., W. L. Gorr, and A. Olligschlaeger, “Leading Indicators and Spatial Interactions: A Crime Forecasting Model for Proactive Police Deployment” Geographical Analysis, January 2007, Vol. 39, Issue1, pp. 105-127.
Gorr, W.L. and S.A. McKay, "Application of Tracking Signals to Detect Time Series Pattern Changes in Crime Mapping Systems," in F. Wang [ed.] Crime Mapping and Beyond: GIS Applications in Crime Studies, Hershey, PA: Idea Group Publishing, 2005.
Johnson, M., W.L. Gorr, and S. Roehrig, "Location of Elderly Service Facilities," Annals of Operations Research, Vol. 136 (1), January 2005.
Cohen, J., W.L. Gorr, and P. Singh, "Estimating Intervention Effects in Varying Risk Settings: Do Police Raids Reduce Illegal Drug Dealing at Nuisance Bars?," Criminology, Vol. 41 (2), May 2003, pp. 257-292.
Johnson, M., W.L. Gorr, and S. Roehrig, "Location/Allocation/Routing for Home-Delivered Meals Provision: Model and Solution Approaches," International Journal of Industrial Engineering, Special Issue on Facility Layout and Location, Vol. 9 No. 1 (2002), pp. 45 - 56.
Anderson, B.B., A. Bajaj, and W.L. Gorr, "An Estimation of the Relative Effects of External Software Quality Factors on Senior IS Managers' Evaluation of Computing Architectures," Journal of Systems & Software, Vol. 61 (2002), pp. 59-75.
Gorr, W.L., A. Olligschlaeger, and Y. Thompson, "Short-term Forecasting of Crime", International Journal of Forecasting, Vol. 19, No. 4 (2003).
Gorr, W.L., M. Johnson, and S. Roehrig, "Spatial Decision Support System for Home-Delivered Services," Geographical Analysis, Vol. 3(2001), pp. 181-197.
Duncan, G., W.L. Gorr, and J. Szczypula, "Forecasting Analogous Time Series," S. Armstrong [ed.], Forecasting Principles (2001) Kluwer Academic Publishers.
Getis, A., P. Drummey, J. Gartin, W.L. Gorr, K. Harris, P. Rogerson, D.Stoe, and R. Wright, "Geographic Information Science and Crime Analysis," Journal of the Urban and Regional Information Systems Association, Vol. 12, No.2 (2000), pp 7-14.
Research Interest(s)
Geographic Information Systems, Predictive Models, and Management Science Models applied to Public sector problems.
Education
PhD, Operations Research, Carnegie Mellon University
Working Papers
- Using Receiver Operating Characteristic Analysis to Evaluate Exceptions Forecast Accuracy: Reanalysis of M3-Competition Data on Micro Monthly Time Series
- Forecast Accuracy Measures for Exception Reporting Using Receiver Operating Characteristic Curves
- Empirical Calibration of Time Series Monitoring Methods Using Receiver Operating Characteristic Curves
- Framework for Validating Geographic Profiling
- Leading Indicators and Spatial Interactions: A Crime Forecasting Model for Proactive Police Deployment
- Policy Systems: The Integration of Information Technology into Policy Analysis, Planning, and Program Analysis
- An Integrated Approach to Developing Human Services Web Portals
- Application of Tracking Signals to Detect Time Series Pattern Changes in Crime Mapping Systems
- Estimation of Crime Seasonality: A Cross-Sectional Extension to Time Series Classical Decomposition
- Guns and Youth Violence: An Examination of Crime Guns in One City
- Impact of Police Raids at Nuisance Bars on Illegal Drug Dealing: Estimating Intervention Effects in Varying Risk Settings
- Point Demand Forecasting
- ServiceNet: An Agent-Based Framework for Enabling One-Stop E-Government Services Submit Entry
- Assessment of Crime Forecasting Accuracy for Deployment of Police
- Facility Location Model for Home-Delivered Services: Application to the Meals-on-Wheels Program
- Forecasting Crime
- Forecasting Analogous Time Series
- HumanServicesNet A Web-Based Geographic Information System for Non-Profit Organizations
- Spatio-Temporal Forecasting of Crime: Application of Classical and Neural Network Methods
- Comparative Study of Cross Sectional Methods for Time Series with Structural Changes
- National Crime Mapping System