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Daniel Nagin
Teresa and H. John Heinz III University Professor of Public Policy and Statistics
Tenure Track
Voice: n/a
Email: dn03+@andrew.cmu.edu
Biography
Daniel S. Nagin is Teresa and H. John Heinz III University Professor of Public Policy and Statistics and since January, 2006 has served as the School’s Associate Dean of Faculty. He received his Ph.D. in 1976 from what is now the Heinz School. Nagin has participated in two MacArthur Foundation Networks—the Network on Adolescent Development and Juvenile Justice and the Network on Economic Inequality and Social Interactions. He is on the editorial board of six journals, and served on numerous national committees and advisory boards and served as Deputy Secretary for Fiscal Policy and Analysis in the Pennsylvania Department of Revenue from 1981 to 1986.
Nagin is an elected Fellow of the American Society of Criminology and of the American Society for the Advancement of Science. He is the 2006 recipient of the American Society of Criminology Edwin H Sutherland Award (for research contributions) and is a 1985 recipient of the Northeastern Association of Tax Administrators Award for Excellence in Tax Administration.
Research
His research focuses on the evolution of criminal and antisocial behaviors over the life course, the deterrent effect of criminal and non-criminal penalties on illegal behaviors, and the development of statistical methods for analyzing longitudinal data. His work has appeared in such diverse outlets as the American Economic Review, American Sociological Review, Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Journal of Sociology, Archives of General Psychiatry, Criminology, Child Development, Psychological Methodology, Law & Society Review, Crime and Justice Annual Review, Operations Research, and Stanford Law Review. He is also the author of Group-based Modeling of Development (Harvard University Press, 2005)
Selected Publications
Nagin, D. S. 2005. Group-based Modeling of Development. Cambridge, MA.: Harvard University Press.
Nagin, D.S. and R. E. Tremblay. 2005. “Developmental Trajectory Groups: Fact or a Useful Statistical Fiction?.” Criminology, 43:873-904.
Nagin, D.S. and R. E. Tremblay. 2005. “What has been learned from group-based trajectory modeling?: Examples from physical aggression and other problem behaviors.”
Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, 602: 82-117.
Haviland, A. and D.S. Nagin. 2005. “ Causal Inference with Group-based Trajectory Models.” Psychometrika, 70:1-22.
Broidy, L. M., D. S. Nagin, R. E. Tremblay, J. E. Bates, B. Brame, K. Dodge, D. Fergusson, J. Horwood, R. Loeber, R. Laird, D. Lynam, T. Moffitt, G. S. Pettit, and F. Vitaro. 2003. “Developmental Trajectories of Childhood Disruptive Behaviors and Adolescent Delinquency : A Six Site, Cross-national Study.” Developmental Psychology, 39: 222-245.
Nagin, D. S., and G. Pogarsky. 2003. “Cheating as Crime: An Experimental Investigation of Deterrence.” Criminology, 41: 167-194.
Nagin, D. S., J. Rebitzer, S. Sanders, and L. Taylor. 2002. “Monitoring, Motivation and Management: The Determinants of Opportunistic Behavior in a Field Experiment.” American Economic Review, 92: 850:872.
Nagin, D. S. and R. E. Tremblay. 2001. “ Parental and Early Childhood Predictors of Persistent Physical Aggression in Boys from Kindergarten to High School.” Archives of General Psychiatry, 58(4): 389-394.
Nagin, D. S. 1999. “ Analyzing Developmental Trajectories: A Semi-parametric, Group-based Approach.” Psychological Methods, 4: 139-177.
Nagin, D. S., and R. E. Tremblay. 1999. “Trajectories of Boys’ Physical Aggression, Opposition, and Hyperactivity on the Path to Physically Violent and Nonviolent Juvenile Delinquency.” Child Development, 70: 1181:1196.
Roeder K., K. Lynch, D.S. Nagin. 1999. “Modeling Uncertainty in Latent Class Membership: A Case Study in Criminology.” Journal of the American Statistical Association, 94: 766-776.
Education
Ph.D. Heinz School of Public Policy & Management